2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 26 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 15 11
Current seats 16 10

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from all 26 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for June 25, 2024.

2020–2024 redistricting process[edit]

The new congressional districts map passed by the state legislature

Following the 2020 census, New York lost one congressional seat and its Independent Redistricting Commission (I.R.C.) attempted to draw a new map. However, they could not reach an agreement on the map, and the Democratic-dominated New York State Legislature drew their own new Congressional map. In April 2022, in the lead-up to the 2022 midterms, the New York State Court of Appeals struck down the map as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander that failed to follow the proper procedures.[1] The Court then assigned an Independent Special Master to create a new map.

In the 2022 House election in New York, under the new map, the Republican Party flipped 3 seats, bringing the new seat count of 15 for the Democrats and 11 held by Republicans.[2] In March 2023, New York Democrats challenged the new map, deeming it incorrect for the Court to draw the map, claiming that the job lies solely with the Legislature and I.R.C.[3] In July 2023, an intermediate appeals court ruled that the I.R.C. must create another new map for the 2024 House Elections.[4] The New York State Republicans challenged the ruling to the Court of Appeals, who ruled on December 12, 2023, that the maps must be redrawn by the legislature and I.R.C. for the 2024 elections.[5][6] On February 27, 2024, the New York State Legislature voted to reject the bipartisan map and instead favored redrawing the map for Democrats. On February 28, 2024, the state legislature passed a new map resulting in the 3rd, 18th, and 22nd congressional districts becoming more Democratic while the 1st becoming more Republican.[7] The map was signed by Governor Kathy Hochul on the same day.

District 1[edit]

2024 New York's 1st congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Nick LaLota (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Nick LaLota
Republican



The 1st district is based on the eastern end and North Shore of Long Island, including the Hamptons, the North Fork, Riverhead, Port Jefferson, Smithtown, and Huntington, all in Suffolk County.[8] The incumbent is Republican Nick LaLota, who was elected with 55.51% of the vote in 2022.[9] George Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December 2023, is challenging LaLota in this seat, announcing his run as a Republican during Joe Biden's 2024 State of the Union Address.[10] On March 22, 2024, Santos announced that he was withdrawing from the Republican primary and would instead run as an Independent candidate.[11] On April 23, 2024, Santos withdrew from the race.[12]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Nick LaLota

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nick LaLota (R) $1,628,926 $423,035 $1,283,647
Source: Federal Election Commission[19]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

John Avlon
State legislators
Nancy Goroff
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nancy Goroff (D) $610,917 $81,270 $529,647
James Gaughran (D) $198,894 $72,899 $125,995
Craig Herskowitz (D) $245,164[a] $50,329 $194,836
Source: Federal Election Commission[19]

Conservative primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Daniel Foti, financial director[29] (previously ran in the 3rd district)[30]

Independents[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • George Santos, former Republican U.S. Representative from the 3rd district (2023) (previously ran as a Republican)[31]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely R December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Lean R December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Likely R March 1, 2024

District 2[edit]

2024 New York's 2nd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD Rob Lubin (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Andrew Garbarino
Republican



The 2nd district is based on the South Shore of Suffolk County, including the towns of Babylon, Islip, and most of Brookhaven all in Suffolk County, and Massapequa in Nassau County. The incumbent is Republican Andrew Garbarino, who was re-elected with 60.73% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Andrew Garbarino
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andrew Garbarino (R) $1,812,888 $713,306 $1,396,664
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

  • Rob Lubin, fashion e-commerce company founder[40]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Lubin (D) $658,272[b] $315,997 $342,275
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Likely R November 16, 2023

District 3[edit]

2024 New York's 3rd congressional district election

2026 →
 
Nominee Tom Suozzi (presumptive) TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Tom Suozzi
Democratic



The 3rd district is based on the North Shore of Nassau County, including all of the city of Glen Cove, all of the town of North Hempstead, most of the town of Oyster Bay, a small part of the town of Hempstead, and parts of Northeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Whitestone, Beechhurst, Little Neck, and Douglaston.[8] The incumbent was Republican George Santos, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.76% of the vote in 2022.[9] Santos had faced heavy calls to resign following revelations that he fabricated a majority of his resumé, including from the Nassau County Republican Party.[41]

On May 10, 2023, Santos was arrested on federal charges of fraud and money laundering.[42]

On November 16, 2023, in light of the House Ethics Committee report finding that there was "substantial evidence" that he "violated federal criminal laws," Santos announced that he would no longer be seeking re-election.[43] On December 1, Santos was expelled from Congress.[44]

On February 13, 2024, former U.S. Representative Tom Suozzi defeated Republican nominee Mazi Melesa Pilip in the special election to finish Santos's term. He is also running for a full term in November.[45]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Tom Suozzi
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Austin Cheng (D) $615,088[c] $615,088 $0
Scott Livingston (D) $121,969 $75,223 $46,746
Tom Suozzi (D) $4,514,693 $2,360,689 $2,217,240
Source: Federal Election Commission[60]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Michael LiPetri
Party chapters
Mike Sapraicone (withdrawn)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kellen Curry (R) $457,986[d] $278,567 $179,419
Greg Hach (R) $300,421[e] $168,595 $131,826
Thomas Ludwig (R) $40,000[f] $18,226 $21,774
Daniel Norber (R) $471,399[g] $369,884 $101,514
Mazi Pilip (R) $1,342,836 $714,274 $628,562
Jim Toes (R) $99,890 $22,156 $77,734
Source: Federal Election Commission[60]

Libertarian primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Ryan Kalata, merchandiser[68]

Conservative primary[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Daniel Foti, financial director[30] (running in the 1st district)[29]

Independents[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Matt Nappo, multimedia producer and podcaster[68]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Likely D February 29, 2024
Inside Elections[33] Lean D February 14, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Likely D February 28, 2024
Elections Daily[35] Likely D February 29, 2024
CNalysis[36] Likely D March 1, 2024

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
Jack Martins vs. Josh Lafazan
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Jack
Martins (R)
Josh
Lafazan (D)
Undecided
Priorities for Progress (D) March 5–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 36% 21%
Jack Martins vs. Robert Zimmerman
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Jack
Martins (R)
Robert
Zimmerman (D)
Undecided
Priorities for Progress (D) March 5–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 15%

District 4[edit]

The 4th district is based on the South Shore of Nassau County and is entirely within the town of Hempstead.[8] The incumbent is Republican Anthony D'Esposito, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.80% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Anthony D'Esposito
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Anthony D'Esposito (R) $1,991,888 $766,412 $1,247,942
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Filed paperwork[edit]

  • Patrick Lawrence Henry[76]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Laura Gillen
U.S. representatives
Local officials
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Laura
Gillen
Kevin
Thomas
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] October 23–24, 2023 464 (LV) ? 53% 10% 37%

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Laura Gillen (D) $786,532 $285,694 $500,838
Gian Jones (D) $6,461 $4,458 $2,002
Kevin Thomas (D) $352,049 $205,958 $146,090
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Tossup December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D (flip) February 28, 2024
Elections Daily[35] Lean D (flip) February 29, 2024
CNalysis[36] Tilt D (flip) November 16, 2023

District 5[edit]

The 5th district is based in Southeast Queens, including the neighborhoods of Jamaica, Hollis, Laurelton, Richmond Hill, Ozone Park, Howard Beach, and the Rockaways. The incumbent is Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was re-elected with 75.21% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gregory Meeks (D) $869,948 $1,070,242 $1,528,286
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Paul King, businessman and nominee for this district in 2022[93]

Endorsements[edit]

Paul King

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 6[edit]

The 6th district is based in Central and Eastern Queens, including the neighborhoods of Woodside, Jackson Heights, Elmhurst, Kew Gardens, Flushing, Bayside, and Fresh Meadows. The incumbent is Democrat Grace Meng, who was re-elected with 63.95% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Grace Meng (D) $489,568 $543,738 $653,655
Source: Federal Election Commission[98]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 7[edit]

The 7th district is based in Brooklyn and Queens, including the neighborhoods of Clinton Hill, Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Woodhaven, Maspeth, Sunnyside, and Long Island City. The incumbent is Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was elected with 80.69% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nydia Velasquez (D) $198,424 $217,203 $284,471
Source: Federal Election Commission[102]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 8[edit]

The incumbent is Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was re-elected with 71.72% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Hakeem Jeffries (D) $7,885,137 $4,376,214 $5,725,148
Source: Federal Election Commission[106]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 9[edit]

The incumbent is Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was re-elected with 81.52% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Yvette Clarke

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Yvette Clarke (D) $258,982 $263,240 $58,446
Source: Federal Election Commission[107]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 10[edit]

The 10th district is based in Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, including the neighborhoods of Park Slope, Windsor Terrace, Gowanus, Brooklyn Heights, Cobble Hill, Red Hook, Sunset Park, the Lower East Side, Greenwich Village, and the Financial District.[8] The incumbent is Democrat Dan Goldman, who was elected with 84.04% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Bruno Grandsard, venture capital executive[108]
  • Dan Goldman, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Goldman (D) $1,412,547 $651,466 $798,418
Source: Federal Election Commission[111]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 11[edit]

The incumbent is Republican Nicole Malliotakis, who was re-elected with 61.77% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Nicole Malliotakis

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nicole Malliotakis (R) $1,063,483 $389,901 $723,899
Source: Federal Election Commission[113]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Sarah Blas, consultant and community organizer[114]
  • Andrea Morse, attorney[115]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Andrea Morse
Party chapters

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid R December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 12[edit]


The 12th district is entirely based in Manhattan, comprising the Upper West Side, Upper East Side, Midtown, Hell's Kitchen, Chelsea, Murray Hill, and Gramercy.[8] The incumbent is Democrat Jerry Nadler, who was re-elected with 81.76% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jerry Nadler (D) $490,296 $254,668 $250,351
Source: Federal Election Commission[124]

Republican primary[edit]

presumptive nominee[edit]

Michael Zumbluskas

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 13[edit]

The 13th district is based in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Harlem, Morningside Heights, Spanish Harlem, Hamilton Heights, Washington Heights, Inwood, Marble Hill, Fordham, Kingsbridge, and Bedford Park. The incumbent is Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who ran unopposed in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Adriano Espaillat (D) $530,784 $221,575 $407,950
Source: Federal Election Commission[125]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 14[edit]

The 14th district is based in North Queens and the East Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Corona, East Elmhurst, Astoria, College Point, Hunts Point, Castle Hill, Throggs Neck, Parkchester, Country Club, Co-Op City, and City Island.[8] The incumbent is Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was re-elected with 70.72% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) $3,548,397 $3,283,642 $5,416,659
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Filed paperwork[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tina Forte (R) $144,532 $115,053 $34,511
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 15[edit]

The 15th district is based in the West Bronx, including the neighborhoods of Mott Haven, Melrose, Morrisania, Highbridge, Tremont, West Farms, Belmont, Norwood, Woodlawn Heights, Riverdale, and Spuyten Duyvil. The incumbent is Democrat Ritchie Torres, who was elected with 82.79% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ritchie Torres (D) $1,615,923 $473,602 $5,032,721
Source: Federal Election Commission[141]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 16[edit]

2024 New York's 16th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD Madeline Brame (presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Jamaal Bowman
Democratic



The 16th district is based in southern Westchester County, including Yonkers, White Plains, New Rochelle, and Rye. It also includes Wakefield in the Bronx. The incumbent is Democrat Jamaal Bowman, who was elected with 64.30% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

The primary has become a target for the pro-Israel lobby since the incumbent, Jamaal Bowman, has been one of the most ardent opponents of U.S. support for Israel in the Israel–Hamas war.[142][143]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

  • Marty Dolan, financial adviser[146] (running in the 14th district)[127]
  • Michael Gerald, pastor and Westchester County deputy corrections commissioner (endorsed Latimer)[147]

Endorsements[edit]

Jamaal Bowman
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
George Latimer
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Party chapters
  • 11 municipal Democratic committees[148][m]
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Jamaal
Bowman
George
Latimer
Undecided
Upswing Research[B] March 5–10, 2024 608 (V) ± 3.97% 44% 43% 12%
Mellman Group[C] March 26–30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 35% 52% 13%

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jamaal Bowman (D) $1,394,067.93 $784,921 $630,663
Michael Gerald (D)[n] $40,943 $27,688 $13,254
Marty Dolan (D) $57,925 $23,000 $34,925
George Latimer (D) $1,429,879 $108,792 $1,321,087
Source: Federal Election Commission[160]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

  • Madeline Brame, nonprofit founder[161]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madeline Brame (R) $12,113 $12,113 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[160]

General election[edit]

Prediction[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Solid D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 17[edit]

2024 New York's 17th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Mike Lawler (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Mike Lawler
Republican



The 17th district is based in the Lower Hudson Valley, including all of Rockland and Putnam counties, northern Westchester County, and a small part of Dutchess County.[8] The incumbent is Republican Mike Lawler, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.32% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

William Maloney (declined)
U.S. Cabinet officials

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Lawler (R) $3,324,179 $862,520 $2,500,120
Source: Federal Election Commission[169]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Liz Gereghty (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Mondaire
Jones
Liz
Gereghty
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] July 14–15, 2023 570 (LV) ± 4.1% 43% 8% 49%

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023[needs update]
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
MaryAnn Carr (D) $15,716 $10,050 $5,666
Mondaire Jones (D) $2,142,847 $634,295 $1,579,897
Source: Federal Election Commission[169]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Tossup December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Tossup December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Tossup September 7, 2023
CNalysis[36] Tossup November 16, 2023

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling
Mike Lawler vs. Mondaire Jones
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Mike
Lawler (R)
Mondaire
Jones (D)
Undecided
EMC Research (D)[E] May 4–7, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 50% 48% 3%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
EMC Research (D)[E] May 4–7, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 48% 49% 3%

District 18[edit]

2024 New York's 18th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Pat Ryan (presumptive) Alison Esposito (presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Pat Ryan
Democratic



The 18th district is based in the mid-Hudson Valley, including all of Orange County and most of Dutchess and Ulster counties.[8] The incumbent is Democrat Pat Ryan, who was re-elected with 50.67% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Pat Ryan (D) $3,147,028[o] $970,823 $2,211,915
Source: Federal Election Commission[202]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Alison Esposito (R) $250,194 $52,101 $198,094
Lovelynn Gwinn (R) $19,790 $12,762 $7,028
Source: Federal Election Commission[202]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[32] Lean D December 1, 2023
Inside Elections[33] Lean D December 1, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] Lean D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[35] Likely D February 29, 2024
CNalysis[36] Likely D November 16, 2023
Hypothetical polling
Pat Ryan vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Pat
Ryan (D)
"Someone
new"
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[F] August 1–3, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 36% 42% 22%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Generic Democrat Generic Republican Undecided
Cygnal (R)[F] August 1–3, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 43% 43% 14%

District 19[edit]

2024 New York's 19th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Marc Molinaro (presumptive) Josh Riley (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Marc Molinaro
Republican



The 19th district stretches from the Upper Hudson Valley across the Catskill Mountains to parts of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, including Hudson, Woodstock, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, and Ithaca. It includes all of Columbia, Greene, Sullivan, Delaware, Chenango, Cortland, Broome, Tioga, and Tompkins counties, and parts of Otsego and Ulster counties.[8] The incumbent is Republican Marc Molinaro, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.78% of the vote in 2022.[9]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Marc Molinaro
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marc Molinaro (R) $2,196,510 $639,608 $1,618,917
Source: Federal Election Commission[210]

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Josh Riley
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives