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Deutsch2006 United States Senate election in Texas
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 County results Hutchison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Radnofsky: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Texas |
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 Government |
The 2006 United States Senate election in Texas was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison won re-election to a third full term.
As of 2024[update], this was the last time a Republican won Texas's Class 1 Senate seat with over 60% of the vote, as well as the last time a Republican candidate for this seat won Dallas, Jefferson, or Bexar counties.
To date, this is the most recent statewide election in which Dallas County voted for the Republican candidate.
General election
[edit]Major candidates
[edit]- Barbara Ann Radnofsky, attorney
- Gene Kelly, retired attorney & 2000 Democratic Senate Nominee
- Darrel Reece Hunter
- Kay Bailey Hutchison, incumbent U.S. Senator
Campaign
[edit]The Democratic nominee had never run for public office and was expected to face an uphill battle in the general election, especially in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994 and against a historically popular Hutchison. Since neither Radnofsky nor her main opponent, Gene Kelly, had received a majority of votes in the Democratic primary, a runoff was held April 11, 2006, which Radnofsky won. Radnofsky's campaign platform is available on her website.[1] Scott Lanier Jameson won the Libertarian Party nomination at the party's state convention on June 10, 2006, defeating Timothy Wade and Ray Salinas. Arthur W. Loux, a Roman Forest City Councilman and a member of the Minutemen, was running as an independent.
Hutchison co-sponsored legislation supporting the creation of a constitutional amendment that would limit terms for senators but had been quoted saying that she would only leave after two terms if such a law applied to all senators.[2] After deciding not to challenge Governor Rick Perry this year, as had been widely speculated, Hutchison was running for a third term.[3]
She had no opposition in the 2006 Republican primary and had approval ratings in the 60 percent range going into the election,[4] although they had been slipping rapidly.
Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Kay Bailey Hutchison | Barbara Ann Radnofsky | Scott Jameson | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 19, 2006 | KLRN Texas League of Women Voters | Yolette Garcia | C-SPAN[5] | P | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Solid R | November 6, 2006 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | November 6, 2006 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2006 |
| Real Clear Politics[9] | Safe R | November 6, 2006 |
Polling
[edit]| Source | Date | Hutchison (R) | Radnofsky (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polimetrix[10] | November 5, 2006 | 65% | 29% |
| Zogby[11] | October 25, 2006 | 61% | 27% |
| Rasmussen[12] | October 23, 2006 | 60% | 34% |
| Rasmussen[13] | August 31, 2006 | 58% | 32% |
| Rasmussen[14] | August 3, 2006 | 61% | 31% |
| Rasmussen[15] | July 13, 2006 | 58% | 31% |
| Rasmussen[16] | May 18, 2006 | 53% | 34% |
| Rasmussen[17] | January 8, 2006 | 64% | 25% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kay Bailey Hutchison (incumbent) | 2,661,789 | 61.69 | −4.65 | |
| Democratic | Barbara Ann Radnofsky | 1,555,202 | 36.04 | +3.69 | |
| Libertarian | Scott Jameson | 97,672 | 2.26 | +1.10 | |
| Majority | 1,106,587 | 25.7 | |||
| Turnout | 4,314,663 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Radnofsky Mediation Services". Radnofsky.com. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- ^ Hamilton, By Reeve (November 17, 2009). "Working Overtime". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ Ramsey, By Ross (November 22, 2010). "Kay Será, Será". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ "SurveyUSA News Poll #9993". www.surveyusa.com. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
- ^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
- ^ "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
- ^ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
- ^ Polimetrix
- ^ Zogby
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ "2006 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. November 7, 2006.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites (Archived)