گلدان پلیا - ویکی‌پدیا، دانشنامهٔ آزاد

${\displaystyle {\frac {\alpha }{\gamma +\alpha }}\times {\frac {\alpha +1}{\gamma +\alpha +1}}\times \cdots \times {\frac {\alpha +k-1}{\gamma +\alpha +k-1}}\times {\frac {\gamma }{\gamma +\alpha +k}}\times {\frac {\gamma +1}{\gamma +\alpha +k+1}}\cdots {\frac {\gamma +n-k-1}{\gamma +\alpha +n-1}}}$

${\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}p(X_{1}=x_{1},X_{2}=x_{2},...,X_{n}=x_{n})&=\int \theta ^{\left({\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\times \left(1-\theta \right)^{\left(n-{\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\,\beta \left(\theta ;\alpha ,\,\gamma \right)d\left(\theta \right)\\&=\int \theta ^{\left({\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\times \left(1-\theta \right)^{\left(n-{\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\,{\dfrac {(\alpha +\gamma -1)!}{(\alpha -1)!\,(\gamma -1)!}}\theta ^{\gamma -1}(1-\theta )^{\alpha -1}d\left(\theta \right)\\&=\int \theta ^{\left({\gamma -1+\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\times \left(1-\theta \right)^{\left(n+\alpha -1-{\sum _{i=1}^{n}x_{i}}\right)}\,{\dfrac {(\alpha +\gamma -1)!}{(\alpha -1)!\,(\gamma -1)!}}d\left(\theta \right)\\&=\int \theta ^{\left({\gamma +k-1}\right)}\times \left(1-\theta \right)^{\left(n-k-1+\alpha \right)}\,{\dfrac {(\alpha +\gamma -1)!}{(\alpha -1)!\,(\gamma -1)!}}d\left(\theta \right)\\&={\dfrac {(\alpha +\gamma -1)!}{(\alpha -1)!\,(\gamma -1)!}}\int \theta ^{\left({\gamma +k-1}\right)}\times \left(1-\theta \right)^{\left(n-k+\alpha -1\right)}\,d\left(\theta \right)\\&={\dfrac {(\alpha +\gamma -1)!}{(\alpha -1)!\,(\gamma -1)!}}{\dfrac {\Gamma (\alpha +n-k)\Gamma (\gamma +k)}{\Gamma (\alpha +\gamma +n)}}\\&={\dfrac {\left(\alpha +k-1\right)!\times \left(\gamma +n-k-1\right)!\times \left(\alpha +\gamma -1\right)!}{\left(\alpha -1\right)!\times \left(\gamma -1\right)!\left(\alpha +\gamma +n-1\right)!}}\end{aligned}}}$